

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Willem II in this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Willem II |
| 35.38% ( | 25.51% ( | 39.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( | 48.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% ( | 70.24% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( | 26.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.57% ( | 61.43% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( | 24.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.42% ( | 58.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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