

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 23.48% ( | 21.85% ( | 54.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( | 38.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.46% ( | 60.55% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( | 29.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.51% ( | 65.49% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( | 14.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.46% ( | 41.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 1-0 @ 5.04% ( 2-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 3-0 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.48% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0-3 @ 5.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.9% ( 1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0-4 @ 2.57% ( 2-4 @ 1.92% ( 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0-5 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
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