

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 38.76% ( | 24.72% ( | 36.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( | 44.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( | 66.73% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( | 22.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.56% ( | 56.44% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( | 23.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.85% ( | 58.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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