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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
64.56% | 19.05% | 16.39% |
Both teams to score 58.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.28% | 35.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.21% | 57.78% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.55% | 10.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.96% | 34.04% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% | 34.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% | 71.66% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 7.37% 3-0 @ 7.01% 4-1 @ 4.17% 4-0 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 3.88% 4-2 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.79% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.99% Total : 64.56% | 1-1 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 5.15% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.05% | 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-1 @ 3.84% 0-2 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |