

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 46.11% (  0.82) | 22.24% (  -0.05) | 31.66% (  -0.76) | 
| Both teams to score 66.53% (  -0.19) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.4% (  -0.09) | 33.61% (  0.09) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 44.59% (  -0.1) | 55.42% (  0.1) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.81% (  0.26) | 15.19% (  -0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.19% (  0.48) | 43.81% (  -0.48) | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.45% (  -0.46) | 21.56% (  0.46) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.37% (  -0.71) | 54.63% (  0.71) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 2-1 @ 8.92% (  0.08) 1-0 @ 6.17% (  0.08) 2-0 @ 5.81% (  0.13) 3-1 @ 5.61% (  0.1) 3-2 @ 4.3% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 3.65% (  0.11) 4-1 @ 2.64% (  0.07) 4-2 @ 2.03% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% (  0.07) 4-3 @ 1.04% (  -0) 5-1 @ 1% (  0.04) Other @ 3.23% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 9.47% (  -0) 2-2 @ 6.85% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.27% (  0.02) 3-3 @ 2.2% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.27% (  -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.02% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.86% (  -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.72% (  -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.5% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.97% (  -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.43% (  -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.34% (  -0.04) Other @ 3.55% Total : 31.66% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 | 
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 | 
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
