

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Fylde | 
| 38.28% ( | 25.38% ( | 36.34% ( | 
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.58% ( | 47.41% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.37% ( | 69.63% ( | 
| Ebbsfleet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.62% ( | 24.38% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.21% ( | 58.79% ( | 
| Fylde Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.56% ( | 25.44% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.74% ( | 60.26% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Fylde | 
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.28%  | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%  | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 2-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 36.34%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 | 
| 2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 | 
| 5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 | 
| 7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 | 
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 | 
| 10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 | 
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 | 
| 12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 | 
| 15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 | 
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 | 
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 | 
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