

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 69.36% ( | 18.55% ( | 12.1% ( | 
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.85% ( | 43.15% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.45% ( | 65.55% ( | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.69% ( | 11.31% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.05% ( | 35.95% ( | 
| PEC Zwolle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 54.31% ( | 45.69% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.52% ( | 81.48% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 3-0 @ 8.92% ( 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 4-0 @ 4.86% ( 4-1 @ 3.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 69.36%  | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 2-2 @ 3.77% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.55%  | 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0-2 @ 1.59% ( 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 1-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.1%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 93 | 35 | 58 | 70 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 65 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 50 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 | 
| 9 | Groningen | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 | 
| 10 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 | 
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 34 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 34 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
