Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.49%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 0-1 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 78.07% (  0.11) | 13.98% (  -0.06) | 7.95% (  -0.05) | 
| Both teams to score 48.44% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.8% (  0.13) | 34.2% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.91% (  0.15) | 56.09% (  -0.15) | 
| AZ Alkmaar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.95% (  0.05) | 7.05% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.25% (  0.14) | 25.75% (  -0.14) | 
| PEC Zwolle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 52.12% (  -0.02) | 47.88% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.86% (  -0.01) | 83.14% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 2-0 @ 11.87% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.49% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 8.95% (  -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.74% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.73% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 6.96% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 5.12% (  0.02) 5-0 @ 3.69% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.85% (  0) 5-1 @ 2.72% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% (  0.01) 6-0 @ 1.63% (  0.02) 6-1 @ 1.2% (  0.01) 5-2 @ 1% (  0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 78.06% | 1-1 @ 6.59% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.38% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.22% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 13.98% | 0-1 @ 2.49% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.43% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 0.92% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 7.95% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 | 
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 | 
| 4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 | 
| 8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 | 
| 10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 | 
| 11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 | 
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 | 
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
