MX23RW : Monday, April 21 20:46:56| >> :600:166238:166238:
AZ Alkmaar
KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 6, 2025 at 7pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

AZ
3 - 1
Quick Boys

Addai (33'), Parrott (58' pen.), Smit (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brouwer (39')
Brouwer (60'), Hamann (84'), (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between AZ Alkmaar and Quick Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Willem II 0-2 AZ
Sunday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Quick Boys 3-2 Heerenveen
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Quick Boys

Quick Boys may have shown their quality against Eredivisie sides in the earlier rounds, but AZ are of a higher level than their previous opponents, and with them also boasting the home advantage, we expect the hosts to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Quick Boys had a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Quick Boys win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawQuick Boys
67.83% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33) 17.93% (0.193 0.19) 14.24% (0.148 0.15)
Both teams to score 56.94% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.08% (-0.61099999999999 -0.61)34.92% (0.618 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.1% (-0.687 -0.69)56.9% (0.695 0.7)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56% (-0.236 -0.24)9.44% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.29% (-0.569 -0.57)31.71% (0.577 0.58)
Quick Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88% (-0.202 -0.2)37.12% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (-0.203 -0.2)73.91% (0.211 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 67.83%
    Quick Boys 14.24%
    Draw 17.93%
AZ AlkmaarDrawQuick Boys
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.169 0.17)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.53% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.49% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 67.83%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.93%
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.47% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 14.24%

How you voted: AZ vs Quick Boys

AZ Alkmaar
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Quick Boys
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
AZ
3-3
Quick Boys
(Aggregate 3-3 | AZ win 4-2 on penalties)
De Wit (70'), Poku (72'), Van Brederode (97')
Pavlidis (92')
Ogidi Nwankwo (59'), De Beste (90+7'), Van Duijn (113')
Reinders (18'), Staal (28'), van den Meiracker (105'), Franken (120+3'), de Beste (120+1')
rhs 2.0
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