Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall3 - 1Norwich
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackburn 4-1 Millwall
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: Norwich 3-5 Portsmouth
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
66
We said: Millwall 2-0 Norwich City
Millwall may have lost 4-1 at Ewood Park on Friday, but they have won each of their last three matches at the Den, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to take three points from Monday's clash against a Norwich side low on confidence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Norwich City |
49.83% ( 2.9) | 26.07% ( -0.75) | 24.09% ( -2.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
