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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Middlesbrough

Neghli (65')
Azeez (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Millwall
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Leeds
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-1 Middlesbrough

After a hard-fought success at Sheffield United earlier in the week, Millwall will be full of confidence as Middlesbrough visit the capital this weekend. Boro are the highest-scoring attack in the division on their travels, although we believe that Carrick's exciting crop will suffer a damaging defeat at the home of the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
34.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 27.72% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 37.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.53% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.71% (0.201 0.2)57.29% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.87% (0.159 0.16)78.13% (-0.16 -0.16)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (0.11 0.11)31.48% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (0.128 0.13)67.86% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82% (0.121 0.12)29.18% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (0.148 0.15)65.12% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 34.29%
    Middlesbrough 37.98%
    Draw 27.72%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.29%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.18% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 11.31% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.98%

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
55.9%
Draw
20.6%
Middlesbrough
23.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-0
Millwall
Latte Lath (10')
Latte Lath (37'), Dijksteel (65')

Tanganga (54'), Mitchell (90')
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Millwall
1-3
Middlesbrough
Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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