We said: Millwall 2-1 Middlesbrough
After a hard-fought success at Sheffield United earlier in the week, Millwall will be full of confidence as Middlesbrough visit the capital this weekend.
Boro are the highest-scoring attack in the division on their travels, although we believe that Carrick's exciting crop will suffer a damaging defeat at the home of the Lions.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.