Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 8, 2025 at 8pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Leeds

Morris (74')

FT(HT: 0-1)

James (2')
Byram (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Middlesbrough
Friday, April 4 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Leeds United
30.86% ( -0.42)	25.74% ( 0.18)	43.4% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.76% (

-0.89)

50.24% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81% (

-0.8)

72.19% (

0.8)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

-0.73)

30.22% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

-0.89)

66.39% (

0.9)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

-0.26)

23.04% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.13% (

-0.39)

56.87% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 30.86%

Leeds United 43.4%

Draw 25.74%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.86%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Leeds

Middlesbrough

53.8%

Draw

17.6%

Leeds United

28.6%

Head to Head

Dec 10, 2024 8pm

Gameweek 20

Leeds

3-1

Middlesbrough

Gnonto (14'), James (74'), Aaronson (90+2')
Wober (89')

Wober (54' og.)
Edmundson (71'), Dijksteel (80')

> Preview

Aug 14, 2024 8pm

First Round

Leeds

0-3

Middlesbrough

Byram (35'), Firpo (45+4'), Struijk (90+3')

Dijksteel (50'), Burgzorg (60'), Coburn (67')
Howson (25'), Ayling (69'), Gilbert (76')

> Preview

Apr 22, 2024 8pm

Gameweek 44

Middlesbrough

3-4

Leeds

Jones (7'), Latte Lath (30', 87')
Latte Lath (35'), Jones (78'), Howson (80')

Summerville (14' pen., 61'), Bamford (18'), Gnonto (39')
Bamford (45+2')

> Preview

Dec 2, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 19

Leeds

3-2

Middlesbrough

James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')

Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')

> Preview

Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm

Gameweek 35

Form Guide

Blackburn 0-2 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 2-1 Oxford Utd

Luton 0-0 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 2-1 QPR

Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table