MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:19:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Leeds logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Leeds


Morris (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
James (2')
Byram (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Middlesbrough
Friday, April 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Leeds United

Both home advantage and momentum are on Middlesbrough's side heading into this crucial contest, so the hosts can claim another three points on Tuesday. Once imperious, Leeds have lost some of their edge in recent weeks, and their in-form opponents can capitalise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLeeds United
30.86% (-0.424 -0.42) 25.74% (0.175 0.18) 43.4% (0.254 0.25)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.75 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-0.89100000000001 -0.89)50.24% (0.897 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.796 -0.8)72.19% (0.803 0.8)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (-0.73299999999999 -0.73)30.22% (0.74 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (-0.889 -0.89)66.39% (0.896 0.9)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.259 -0.26)23.04% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (-0.387 -0.39)56.87% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 30.86%
    Leeds United 43.4%
    Draw 25.74%
MiddlesbroughDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.86%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.249 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.286 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.5% (0.154 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.67% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Leeds

Middlesbrough
53.8%
Draw
17.6%
Leeds United
28.6%
119
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Leeds
3-1
Middlesbrough
Gnonto (14'), James (74'), Aaronson (90+2')
Wober (89')
Wober (54' og.)
Edmundson (71'), Dijksteel (80')
Aug 14, 2024 8pm
First Round
Leeds
0-3
Middlesbrough

Byram (35'), Firpo (45+4'), Struijk (90+3')
Dijksteel (50'), Burgzorg (60'), Coburn (67')
Howson (25'), Ayling (69'), Gilbert (76')
Apr 22, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-4
Leeds
Jones (7'), Latte Lath (30', 87')
Latte Lath (35'), Jones (78'), Howson (80')
Summerville (14' pen., 61'), Bamford (18'), Gnonto (39')
Bamford (45+2')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Leeds
3-2
Middlesbrough
James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')
Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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