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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Luton
0 - 0
Middlesbrough


Brown (64'), Walsh (67')
FT

Iling-Junior (24'), Dijksteel (75'), Hackney (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 QPR
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Middlesbrough

Both sides have been in improved form this month after difficult starts to the year, so expect a close-fought contest with so much at stake. Additionally, Luton have a poor home record while Middlesbrough have been lacklustre away from the Riverside, but the visitors are battling for a place in the playoffs and will be motivated to secure all three points against a relegation candidate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawMiddlesbrough
32.13% (-0.194 -0.19) 26.39% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 41.48% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51% (-0.418 -0.42)52.49% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84% (-0.359 -0.36)74.15% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.34 -0.34)30.49% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.407 -0.41)66.71% (0.40899999999999 0.41)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.131 -0.13)24.99% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (-0.185 -0.19)59.64% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 32.13%
    Middlesbrough 41.48%
    Draw 26.39%
Luton TownDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 10.56% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.33% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.48%

How you voted: Luton vs Middlesbrough

Luton Town
31.9%
Draw
14.9%
Middlesbrough
53.2%
47
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
5-1
Luton
Burgzorg (30', 54'), Latte Lath (43'), Azaz (51', 87')
Burgzorg (31')
Clark (77')
Baptiste (15'), Hashioka (49'), Clark (62'), Morris (66')
Apr 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 44
Luton
2-1
Middlesbrough
Lockyer (49'), Morris (67' pen.)
Archer (40')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
Akpom (38'), Crooks (90+1')
Clark (33')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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