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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Portsmouth

Luton
1 - 0
Portsmouth

Clark (25')
Brown (55'), Kaminski (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dozzell (5'), Ritchie (16'), Murphy (39'), Saydee (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Luton
Sunday, February 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 QPR
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Portsmouth

Pompey may have enjoyed success on their most recent road trip, but they have only won two of their 17 away league games this season, and with that in mind, we think that they may have to settle for a draw even though Luton are low on confidence following a desperate run of results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw has a probability of 25.9% and a win for Portsmouth has a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Portsmouth win it is 0-1 (7.98%).

Result
Luton TownDrawPortsmouth
52.24% (-0.631 -0.63) 25.91% (0.289 0.29) 21.85% (0.344 0.34)
Both teams to score 45.8% (-0.361 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.1% (-0.697 -0.7)56.9% (0.69900000000001 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (-0.56 -0.56)77.81% (0.563 0.56)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.55199999999999 -0.55)21.86% (0.555 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (-0.847 -0.85)55.1% (0.848 0.85)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)41.38% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (-0.041 -0.04)77.9% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 52.23%
    Portsmouth 21.85%
    Draw 25.91%
Luton TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 13.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 21.85%

How you voted: Luton vs Portsmouth

Luton Town
32.1%
Draw
21.4%
Portsmouth
46.4%
56
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Portsmouth
0-0
Luton
Shaughnessy (36'), Pack (42'), Dozzell (60')
Kaminski (29'), Clark (74'), Chong (85')
Kaminski (31')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-1
Portsmouth
Adebayo (10')
Ahadme (12')
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Luton
3-2
Portsmouth
Collins (39', 77' pen.), Moncur (86')
Curtis (52'), Bogle (79')
Donohue (69'), Naylor (87')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Portsmouth
1-0
Luton
Lowe (16')
Brown (37'), Curtis (87')

Potts (45'), McCormack (56'), Justin (70'), Sheehan (90')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
First Round
Luton
1-0
Portsmouth
Collins (45')
Collins (9'), Lee (24')

Thompson (9'), Lowe (50'), Burgess (53'), O'Keefe (72')
Thompson (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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