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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
QPR logo

Portsmouth
2 - 1
QPR

Murphy (48'), Ritchie (51')
Ogilvie (17'), Poole (86'), Saydee (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dunne (74')
Frey (45+4'), Chair (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-0 Derby
Friday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

Pompey will be full of confidence after recording back-to-back victories, and having won seven of their last 10 home games, we think that the hosts may do enough to squeeze past a QPR side that have lost narrowly in their previous two away outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
PortsmouthDrawQueens Park Rangers
45.19% (-0.07 -0.07) 26.36% (0.055 0.05) 28.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (-0.204 -0.2)53.82% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.172 -0.17)75.29% (0.172 0.17)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (-0.121 -0.12)23.74% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12% (-0.177 -0.18)57.88% (0.177 0.18)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)33.84% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-0.102 -0.1)70.5% (0.10199999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 45.19%
    Queens Park Rangers 28.45%
    Draw 26.35%
PortsmouthDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.19%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.45%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs QPR

Portsmouth
48.6%
Draw
27.0%
Queens Park Rangers
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
QPR
1-2
Portsmouth
Dembele (9')
Field (47')
Botts (18'), Lang (57' pen.)
McIntyre (54'), Williams (85'), Yengi (90+7')
Aug 28, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
0-2
Portsmouth

Manning (40'), Wells (64'), Kelly (77'), Kane (95')
Marquis (77' pen.), Harness (81')
Cannon (94')
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
Fourth Round Replays
QPR
2-0
Portsmouth
Wells (70'), Smith (77')
Scowen (52')

Burgess (76')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Fourth Round
Portsmouth
1-1
QPR
Brown (63')
Whatmough (27'), Curtis (77'), Brown (77')
Wells (74')
Manning (45'), Lynch (78')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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