Championship

Championship | Gameweek 33

Feb 14, 2025 at 8pm UK

Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium

QPR
4 - 0
Derby

Chair (21', 57'), Saito (35'), Edwards (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mendez-Laing (65'), Jackson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Coventry 1-0 QPR
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Derby County
45.89% ( -0.29)	26.31% ( 0.04)	27.8% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03% (

0.01)

53.97% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

0.01)

75.41% (

-0)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

-0.13)

23.47% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52% (

-0.2)

57.48% (

0.2)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

0.21)

34.42% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86% (

0.22)

71.13% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Queens Park Rangers 45.89%

Derby County 27.8%

Draw 26.3%

Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.89%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.8%

How you voted: QPR vs Derby

Queens Park Rangers

83.0%

Draw

8.0%

Derby County

8.9%

Head to Head

Oct 5, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 9

Derby

2-0

QPR

Nelson (54'), Harness (55')
Cashin (38')

Dunne (90+6')

> Preview

Apr 18, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 43

QPR

1-0

Derby

Amos (88')
Dozzell (59'), Field (72')

Lawrence (56')
Lawrence (90+8')

> Preview

Nov 29, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 20

Derby

1-2

QPR

Lawrence (10')

Willock (50'), Gray (90')
Gray (90+1')

> Preview

Jan 23, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 26

QPR

0-1

Derby

Cameron (31'), Kane (51')

Kazim-Richards (57')
Shinnie (77')

> Match Report

Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm

Gameweek 10

Derby

0-1

QPR

Kazim-Richards (90+1')

Bonne (88')

Form Guide

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table