Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 1
Sheff Utd

Harness (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brereton Diaz (49')
Souza (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Derby
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Sheffield United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-3 Hull City
Friday, January 24 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield United in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Sheffield United
33.83% ( 0.44)	27.16% ( 0.18)	39.01% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.81% (

-0.65)

55.19% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.57% (

-0.54)

76.43% (

0.54)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.28% (

-0.04)

30.72% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.02% (

-0.05)

66.98% (

0.04)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

-0.66)

27.57% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

-0.86)

63.1% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Derby County 33.83%

Sheffield United 39.01%

Draw 27.16%

Derby County	Draw	Sheffield United
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.83%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.01%

How you voted: Derby vs Sheff Utd

Derby County

19.8%

Draw

9.9%

Sheffield United

70.4%

Head to Head

Sep 21, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 6

Sheff Utd

1-0

Derby

Hamer (53')
Souza (38'), Ahmedhodzic (56'), Moore (86')

Warne (0'), Cashin (50'), Elder (86')

> Preview

Jul 29, 2023 3pm

Club Friendlies

Derby

1-3

Sheff Utd

Smith (59')

Ben Slimane (17'), Baldock (83'), Ndiaye (85')

> Preview

Jan 15, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 27

Derby

2-0

Sheff Utd

Lawrence (69', 78')
Lawrence (78')

Ndiaye (90+3')

> Preview

Sep 25, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 9

Sheff Utd

1-0

Derby

Sharp (90' pen.)
Gibbs-White (24')

Shinnie (24')
Roos (57')

> Match Report

Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm

Second Round

Sheff Utd

2-1

Derby

Freeman (53'), Sharp (76')
Osborn (43'), Fleck (74'), Freeman (83'), Robinson (90+3')

Sibley (44')

Form Guide

Leyton Orient 1-1 Derby (6-5 pen.)

Bristol City 1-0 Derby

Sheff Weds 4-2 Derby

Sheff Utd 0-3 Hull City

Swansea 1-2 Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd 2-0 Norwich

Sheff Utd 0-1 Cardiff

Watford 1-2 Sheff Utd

Sunderland 2-1 Sheff Utd

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table