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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield United |
29.25% | 27.24% | 43.5% |
Both teams to score 48.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2% | 56.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.26% | 77.73% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% | 34.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.47% | 71.53% |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% | 60.89% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield United |
1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.25% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 12.17% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 8.22% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 |
P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 |
3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 |
P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 |
11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 |
13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 |
16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 |
17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 |
19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 |
20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 |
21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 |
R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 |
R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 |
R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 |
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