The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's European Under-19s Championship clash between France Under-19s and Italy Under-19s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Romania U19s 1-2 France U19s
Tuesday, June 21 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship
Tuesday, June 21 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine Under-19s | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | France Under-19s | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | England Under-19s | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey Under-19s | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Slovakia U19s 0-1 Italy U19s
Tuesday, June 21 at 4.30pm in European Under-19s Championship
Tuesday, June 21 at 4.30pm in European Under-19s Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy Under-19s | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-19s | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Norway Under-19s | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Finland Under-19s | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: France Under-19s 1-1 Italy Under-19s
With there being every chance that these two teams could eventually meet in the final, neither will want to give up any potential advantages, despite their qualification. With that in mind, we feel that this fixture could end in a low-scoring draw, a result which will ultimately benefit France in the short term. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for France Under-19s had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.64%). The likeliest France Under-19s win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| France Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
37.37% ( 0.02) | 21.44% ( -0.01) | 41.19% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 71.57% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
