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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Den
QPR logo

Millwall
2 - 1
QPR

Connolly (1'), Cundle (25')
Saville (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lloyd (3')
Morgan (59'), Lloyd (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.83%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawQueens Park Rangers
49.54% (0.322 0.32)28.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)21.62% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 38.48% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.76% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)66.24% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.25% (-0.105 -0.11)84.75% (0.113 0.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.085999999999999 0.09)27.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.107 0.11)62.7% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.91% (-0.411 -0.41)47.09% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.44% (-0.312 -0.31)82.56% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 49.53%
    Queens Park Rangers 21.62%
    Draw 28.82%
MillwallDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 16.68% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 49.53%
0-0 @ 12.83% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 28.82%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.62%

How you voted: Millwall vs QPR

Millwall
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Queens Park Rangers
30.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
QPR
1-1
Millwall
Frey (40')
Paal (60'), Varane (84')
Watmore (34')
Saville (86')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
2-0
Millwall
Chair (27'), Armstrong (85')
Cifuentes (33')

Mitchell (32'), Flemming (85')
Dec 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
2-0
QPR
Bradshaw (45+3'), Wallace (90+1')
Emakhu (32'), Honeyman (44'), Wallace (90+3')

Dunne (9'), Smyth (37'), Chair (75')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
QPR
1-2
Millwall
Martin (82')
Watmore (31'), Burke (78')
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
0-2
QPR
Willock (54'), Johansen (71')