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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Den
QPR logo

Millwall
2 - 1
QPR

Connolly (1'), Cundle (25')
Saville (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lloyd (3')
Morgan (59'), Lloyd (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Millwall
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

The two sides played out a draw when they last faced off in September, and with just a point separating them in the league table, we think that Millwall and QPR will produce another close-fought contest which could result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.83%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawQueens Park Rangers
49.54% (0.322 0.32) 28.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 21.62% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 38.48% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.76% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)66.24% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.25% (-0.105 -0.11)84.75% (0.113 0.11)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.085999999999999 0.09)27.26% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.107 0.11)62.7% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.91% (-0.411 -0.41)47.09% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.44% (-0.312 -0.31)82.56% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 49.53%
    Queens Park Rangers 21.62%
    Draw 28.82%
MillwallDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 16.68% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 49.53%
0-0 @ 12.83% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 28.82%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.62%

How you voted: Millwall vs QPR

Millwall
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Queens Park Rangers
30.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
QPR
1-1
Millwall
Frey (40')
Paal (60'), Varane (84')
Watmore (34')
Saville (86')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
QPR
2-0
Millwall
Chair (27'), Armstrong (85')
Cifuentes (33')

Mitchell (32'), Flemming (85')
Dec 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 24
Millwall
2-0
QPR
Bradshaw (45+3'), Wallace (90+1')
Emakhu (32'), Honeyman (44'), Wallace (90+3')

Dunne (9'), Smyth (37'), Chair (75')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
QPR
1-2
Millwall
Martin (82')
Watmore (31'), Burke (78')
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
0-2
QPR
Willock (54'), Johansen (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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