Blackburn logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Coventry City
Derby logo
Derby logo
Hull logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
West Brom logo
QPR logo
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Luton Town

QPR
2 - 1
Luton

Frey (24'), Fox (62')
Varane (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGuinness (45+2')
Chong (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 3-1 Watford
Wednesday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
46.2% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)26.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)27.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)75.4% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.012 0.01)23.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.012 0.01)34.63% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.2%
    Luton Town 27.53%
    Draw 26.26%
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: QPR vs Luton

Queens Park Rangers
76.2%
Draw
14.6%
Luton Town
9.3%
151
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
1-2
QPR
Dunne (18' og.)
Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79')
Madsen (59'), Frey (62')
Cook (30'), Field (51')
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | QPR win 4-1 on penalties)
Santos (11')
Santos (33'), Colback (49'), Celar (84')
Nelson (16')
Walters (40'), Morris (72')
Dec 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
QPR
0-3
Luton
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 37
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')