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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Luton Town

QPR
2 - 1
Luton

Frey (24'), Fox (62')
Varane (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGuinness (45+2')
Chong (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 3-1 Watford
Wednesday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Luton Town

QPR have won each of their last four home matches, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to take three points off their struggling opponents, who have lost each of their previous nine away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
46.2% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 27.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)75.4% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.012 0.01)23.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)57.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.012 0.01)34.63% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 46.2%
    Luton Town 27.53%
    Draw 26.26%
Queens Park RangersDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.53%

How you voted: QPR vs Luton

Queens Park Rangers
76.2%
Draw
14.6%
Luton Town
9.3%
151
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 4
Luton
1-2
QPR
Dunne (18' og.)
Chong (2'), Doughty (48'), Clark (79')
Madsen (59'), Frey (62')
Cook (30'), Field (51')
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
QPR
1-1
Luton
(Aggregate 1-1 | QPR win 4-1 on penalties)
Santos (11')
Santos (33'), Colback (49'), Celar (84')
Nelson (16')
Walters (40'), Morris (72')
Dec 29, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 25
QPR
0-3
Luton
Morris (10', 47'), Doughty (81')
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
QPR
Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Horvath (90+1' og.)
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 37
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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