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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Luton
0 - 1
Norwich


Nelson (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nunez (73')
Doyle (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Luton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 QPR
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Norwich City

Considering Norwich created numerous opportunities in the final third against QPR, they should be confident of at least regularly threatening Luton's goal. However, the visitors' away record is alarming while the hosts' form at home is impressive, and it would not be surprising if Luton narrowly defeated the Canaries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
45.82% (0.524 0.52) 25.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 28.91% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 54.1% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.196 -0.2)49.22% (0.19900000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.179 -0.18)71.28% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (0.152 0.15)21.49% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (0.235 0.23)54.53% (-0.234 -0.23)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.46799999999999 -0.47)31.09% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)67.41% (0.551 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 45.81%
    Norwich City 28.91%
    Draw 25.28%
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.81%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Luton vs Norwich

Luton Town
68.5%
Draw
16.9%
Norwich City
14.6%
89
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
4-2
Luton
Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')
Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')
Dec 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Norwich
Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Pukki (69')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Norwich
0-1
Luton
Morris (62')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Norwich
3-0
Luton
Pukki (12', 43'), Cantwell (73')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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