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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Millwall logo

Norwich
2 - 1
Millwall

Marcondes (4'), Schwartau (39')
Ben Slimane (62'), Schwartau (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Esse (65')
Leonard (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.12% (-0.353 -0.35)25.89% (-0.132 -0.13)28.99% (0.485 0.48)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.716 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.31% (0.785 0.78)51.69% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (0.679 0.68)73.46% (-0.678 -0.68)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.172 0.17)22.84% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.252 0.25)56.57% (-0.253 -0.25)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.77799999999999 0.78)32.31% (-0.777 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (0.868 0.87)68.81% (-0.869 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.12%
    Millwall 28.99%
    Draw 25.88%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Norwich vs Millwall

Norwich City
64.5%
Draw
19.7%
Millwall
15.8%
76
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Millwall
1-0
Norwich
Bradshaw (18')
Cooper (61'), Honeyman (81'), Watmore (90+1'), Leonard (90+2')
Saville (88')

Barnes (60'), McLean (75'), Sargent (81'), Idah (90+3'), Nunez (90+8')
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
3-1
Millwall
Rowe (25'), Sargent (49'), Barnes (56')
Rowe (45+1'), Omobamidele (90+3')
Emakhu (90+1')
Mitchell (45+1')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
2-3
Norwich
Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 26
Millwall
0-0
Norwich
McLean (83'), (89')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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