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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Carrow Road
Millwall logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Millwall

Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Millwall

Tuesday's win could trigger a hot run of form for Norwich, and they have the quality to hurt any side in the league, but we anticipate a tough test against a resilient Millwall outfit. Rowett's men have shown their steel so far this season and could do enough to leave Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.4% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.84% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.023000000000003 0.02)54.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)75.95% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)24.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)58.47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.04%
    Millwall 28.4%
    Draw 26.55%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Millwall

Norwich City
65.3%
Draw
22.9%
Millwall
11.8%
170
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Norwich
4-3
Millwall
Pukki (49', 90'), Leitner (79'), Rhodes (90')
Leitner (66'), Buendia (86')
Elliott (24'), Leonard (81'), Wallace (83')
Wallace (37'), Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (69'), McLaughlin (90'), Amos (90')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd442771060352586
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke441214184560-1550
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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