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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Azeez (90+3')
Esse (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connolly (10')
Aleksic (77'), Mepham (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Coventry
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-0 Sunderland

Fresh and raring to fight following the two-week international break, Millwall should have the energy to produce another positive result against a promotion contender at The Den. Plagued by suspensions and injuries, we are expecting the Black Cats to struggle in the capital, leading to the end of their eight-game unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
32.92% (0.453 0.45) 29.43% (0.601 0.6) 37.64% (-1.053 -1.05)
Both teams to score 43.48% (-1.535 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.58% (-1.916 -1.92)63.42% (1.915 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.23% (-1.401 -1.4)82.77% (1.4 1.4)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)35.62% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.736 -0.74)72.39% (0.73399999999999 0.73)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-1.627 -1.63)32.46% (1.626 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-1.871 -1.87)68.98% (1.87 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.92%
    Sunderland 37.64%
    Draw 29.42%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 11.56% (0.8 0.8)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.42%
0-1 @ 13.01% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
55.6%
Draw
20.6%
Sunderland
23.8%
63
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Sunderland
0-1
Millwall

Clarke (12'), Ballard (87'), Bellingham (90+1')
Watmore (71' og.)
Obafemi (43'), Flemming (87')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Nisbet (44')
Saville (67'), Bialkowski (74'), Cooper (78'), Bradshaw (81'), Watmore (90+4')
Clarke (78' pen.)
Burstow (25'), Clarke (32'), Ballard (45')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Cooper (59')
Cirkin (81')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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