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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Azeez (90+3')
Esse (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connolly (10')
Aleksic (77'), Mepham (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Coventry
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-0 Sunderland

Fresh and raring to fight following the two-week international break, Millwall should have the energy to produce another positive result against a promotion contender at The Den. Plagued by suspensions and injuries, we are expecting the Black Cats to struggle in the capital, leading to the end of their eight-game unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
32.92% (0.453 0.45) 29.43% (0.601 0.6) 37.64% (-1.053 -1.05)
Both teams to score 43.48% (-1.535 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.58% (-1.916 -1.92)63.42% (1.915 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.23% (-1.401 -1.4)82.77% (1.4 1.4)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)35.62% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.736 -0.74)72.39% (0.73399999999999 0.73)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-1.627 -1.63)32.46% (1.626 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-1.871 -1.87)68.98% (1.87 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.92%
    Sunderland 37.64%
    Draw 29.42%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 11.56% (0.8 0.8)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.42%
0-1 @ 13.01% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
55.6%
Draw
20.6%
Sunderland
23.8%
63
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Sunderland
0-1
Millwall

Clarke (12'), Ballard (87'), Bellingham (90+1')
Watmore (71' og.)
Obafemi (43'), Flemming (87')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Nisbet (44')
Saville (67'), Bialkowski (74'), Cooper (78'), Bradshaw (81'), Watmore (90+4')
Clarke (78' pen.)
Burstow (25'), Clarke (32'), Ballard (45')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Cooper (59')
Cirkin (81')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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