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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Oxford United

Sunderland
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Bellingham (16'), Isidor (63')
Mepham (23'), Isidor (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Scarlett (51'), Sibley (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Oxford United

With Oxford proving difficult to beat of late, they will fancy their chances of continuing their unbeaten run in the North-East. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Black Cats, whose extra quality in the final third may lead to them prevailing by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawOxford United
52.12% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2) 24.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 23.77% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (-0.116 -0.12)48.13% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (-0.106 -0.11)70.29% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.119 -0.12)18.44% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.204 -0.2)49.62% (0.209 0.21)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.64% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.065000000000001 0.07)71.36% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.12%
    Oxford United 23.77%
    Draw 24.11%
SunderlandDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.39% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Oxford Utd

Sunderland
72.6%
Draw
17.9%
Oxford United
9.5%
84
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Oxford Utd
1-2
Sunderland
Moore (35')
Evans (16'), Embleton (89')
Matete (73'), Cirkin (81')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sunderland
1-1
Oxford Utd
Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')
Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Sunderland
3-1
Oxford Utd
Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')
Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
0-2
Sunderland

Kelly (41')
O'Nien (47'), Gooch (82')
Power (24')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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