Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Bellingham (16'), Isidor (63')
Mepham (23'), Isidor (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Scarlett (51'), Sibley (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Oxford United
52.12% ( -0.2)	24.11% ( 0.06)	23.77% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.86% (

-0.12)

48.13% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71% (

-0.11)

70.29% (

0.11)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55% (

-0.12)

18.44% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38% (

-0.2)

49.62% (

0.21)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36% (

0.06)

34.64% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

0.07)

71.36% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 52.12%

Oxford United 23.77%

Draw 24.11%

Sunderland	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.12%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.11%	0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Oxford Utd

Sunderland

72.6%

Draw

17.9%

Oxford United

9.5%

Head to Head

Apr 9, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 42

Oxford Utd

1-2

Sunderland

Moore (35')

Evans (16'), Embleton (89')
Matete (73'), Cirkin (81')

Dec 4, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 12

Sunderland

1-1

Oxford Utd

Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')

Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')

> Preview

Apr 2, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 39

Sunderland

3-1

Oxford Utd

Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')

Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')

Sep 19, 2020 3pm

Gameweek 2

Oxford Utd

0-2

Sunderland

Kelly (41')

O'Nien (47'), Gooch (82')
Power (24')

Feb 15, 2020 3pm

Gameweek 34

Oxford Utd

0-1

Sunderland

Brannagan (90')

Mousinho (3' og.)

Form Guide

Luton 1-2 Sunderland

Hull City 0-1 Sunderland

Sunderland 2-2 Leeds

Sunderland 2-0 Derby

Watford 2-1 Sunderland

Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough

Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby

Oxford Utd 1-1 West Brom

Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford Utd

Luton 2-2 Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley

Bristol City 2-1 Oxford Utd

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table