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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Millwall

Latte Lath (10')
Latte Lath (37'), Dijksteel (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanganga (54'), Mitchell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Millwall

Millwall will want to end the Harris era on a high and will move to within three points of Middlesbrough in the standings if they win at the Riverside Stadium this weekend. Although Millwall will be motivated to get the three points, we think that this game ends in a draw - the visitors have more draws than wins so far this season and they are capable of getting a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
48.95% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 26.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.11% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)55.52% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (-0.058 -0.06)76.69% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)56.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)37.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (-0.067 -0.07)74.53% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.95%
    Millwall 24.83%
    Draw 26.21%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.83%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
76.3%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Millwall
1-3
Middlesbrough
Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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