

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
| 39.58% ( | 26.18% ( | 34.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( | 51.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( | 73.02% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( | 25.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.8% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( | 28.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.75% ( | 64.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.58% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 82 | 29 | 53 | 88 |
| 2 | Burnley | 42 | 24 | 16 | 2 | 57 | 13 | 44 | 88 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 42 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 83 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 64 |
| 6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 41 | 18 | 8 | 15 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 62 |
| 7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 42 | 14 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 60 |
| 9 | Millwall | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 60 |
| 10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 56 |
| 11 | Watford | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 |
| 12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 54 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 42 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 63 | 58 | 5 | 53 |
| 14 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 53 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 16 | Preston North EndPreston | 42 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 49 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 48 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 47 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 46 |
| 20 | Hull City | 41 | 11 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 44 |
| 21 | Derby CountyDerby | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 43 |
| 22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 42 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 45 | 66 | -21 | 42 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 40 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 44 | 82 | -38 | 40 |
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