Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.