Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.