

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 32.62% ( | 25.72% ( | 41.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.42% ( | 49.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( | 71.6% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( | 28.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.45% ( | 64.55% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( | 23.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.31% ( | 57.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.62% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 36 | 66 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 30 | 20 | 55 |
| 3 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 40 |
| 6 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 33 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 21 |
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