Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
50.65% (![]() | 24.22% (![]() | 25.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% (![]() | 47.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% (![]() | 69.59% (![]() |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% (![]() | 18.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.9% (![]() | 50.1% (![]() |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.94% (![]() | 33.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.35% (![]() | 69.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.37% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.65% | 1-1 @ 11.47% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 36 | 66 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 30 | 20 | 55 |
3 | Livingston | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 40 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 38 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 33 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 21 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |