World Cup header WWW

World Cup

China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 25, 2025 at 11am UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Australia national football team

China
vs.
Australia


Wenneng (13')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Irvine (16'), Velupillay (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 China
Thursday, March 20 at 6.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Indonesia vs. China
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

All competitions
Last Game: Australia 5-1 Indonesia
Thursday, March 20 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Australia vs. Japan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for China has a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.03%), while for a China win it is 1-0 (6.28%).

Result
ChinaDrawAustralia
18.03% (0.0040000000000013 0)23.28% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)58.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.59% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)51.54% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)73.34% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)42.47% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.15% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)78.84% (0.012 0.01)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)17.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.61% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Score Analysis
    China 18.03%
    Australia 58.68%
    Draw 23.28%
ChinaDrawAustralia
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.03%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 58.68%

How you voted: China vs Australia

China
16.1%
Draw
14.3%
Australia
69.6%
56
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 10.10am
Third Round
Australia
3-1
China
Miller (45+2'), Goodwin (53'), Velupillay (90+2')
Wenneng (20')
Lei (36'), Shangyuan (66')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
China
1-1
Australia
Lei (71' pen.)
Aloisio (41'), Zhang (90+4')
Duke (38')
Hrustic (50'), Degenek (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 7pm
Third Round
Australia
3-0
China
Mabil (24'), Boyle (26'), Duke (70')
Hrustic (81')

Shenchao (67'), Hongbo (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!