World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Oct 10, 2024 at 10.10am UK

Adelaide Oval

Australia
vs.
China

Miller (45+2'), Goodwin (53'), Velupillay (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wenneng (20')
Lei (36'), Shangyuan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Australia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Japan vs. Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

China

All competitions

Last Game: China 1-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: China vs. Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for China had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Australia	Draw	China
66.4% ( -10.4)	20.07% ( 5.01)	13.53% ( 5.4)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Australia	Draw	China
2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.82) 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 1.5) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.84) 3-0 @ 8.34% ( -2.48) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.74) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -2.46) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -1.18) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( -1.59) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.88) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.83% Total : 66.4%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( 2.38) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 1.67) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.83) Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.07%	0-1 @ 4.69% ( 1.8) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 1.34) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.87) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.44) Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.53%