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World Cup

Indonesia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno
Australia national football team

Indonesia
0 - 0
Australia


Hubner (57')
FT

Goodwin (10'), Baccus (44'), Silvera (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Indonesia and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Indonesia
Thursday, September 5 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 0-1 Bahrain
Thursday, September 5 at 11.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
IndonesiaDrawAustralia
17.24% (-6.82 -6.82)20.99% (-3.791 -3.79)61.76% (10.611 10.61)
Both teams to score 53.23% (1.686 1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (7.396 7.4)43.22% (-7.399 -7.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (6.91 6.91)65.62% (-6.912 -6.91)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.51% (-2.748 -2.75)38.49% (2.746 2.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76% (-2.724 -2.72)75.24% (2.722 2.72)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (6.322 6.32)13.46% (-6.324 -6.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53% (11.382 11.38)40.46% (-11.384 -11.38)
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 17.24%
    Australia 61.75%
    Draw 20.99%
IndonesiaDrawAustralia
1-0 @ 4.95% (-2.328 -2.33)
2-1 @ 4.74% (-1.327 -1.33)
2-0 @ 2.36% (-1.381 -1.38)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 1.51% (-0.572 -0.57)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.24%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-1.859 -1.86)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-1.89 -1.89)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.99%
0-2 @ 10.41% (1.128 1.13)
0-1 @ 10.39% (-1.06 -1.06)
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.397 0.4)
0-3 @ 6.96% (1.95 1.95)
1-3 @ 6.65% (1.491 1.49)
0-4 @ 3.49% (1.46 1.46)
1-4 @ 3.33% (1.244 1.24)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.521 0.52)
2-4 @ 1.59% (0.516 0.52)
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.742 0.74)
1-5 @ 1.34% (0.66 0.66)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 61.75%

How you voted: Indonesia vs Australia

Indonesia
46.9%
Draw
14.2%
Australia
38.9%
162
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 11.30am
Round of 16
Australia
4-0
Indonesia
Baggott (12' og.), Boyle (45'), Goodwin (89'), Souttar (90+1')
Fornaroli (15'), Jones (65')

Mangkualam (35'), Walsh (68'), Amat (90'), Struick (90+4')
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rhs 2.0
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