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World Cup
China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Indonesia national football team

China
vs.
Indonesia

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
Last Game: Australia 3-1 China
Thursday, October 10 at 10.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Bahrain vs. China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Indonesia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Indonesia vs. Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: China 1-2 Indonesia

 Indonesia are yet to lose a game in Group C, while China are yet to record a single point from their opening three fixtures, suggesting the visitors will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a China win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Indonesia has a probability of 28.72% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Indonesia win is 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result
ChinaDrawIndonesia
45.64% (-2.247 -2.25) 25.64% (0.745 0.75) 28.72% (1.5 1.5)
Both teams to score 52.84% (-1.299 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19% (-2.205 -2.21)50.81% (2.203 2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-1.976 -1.98)72.7% (1.974 1.97)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-1.899 -1.9)22.23% (1.898 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (-2.94 -2.94)55.66% (2.937 2.94)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.012 -0.01)32.05% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)68.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    China 45.64%
    Indonesia 28.72%
    Draw 25.63%
ChinaDrawIndonesia
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.351 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.229 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.262 -0.26)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.61 0.61)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.693 0.69)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.393 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.72%

How you voted: China vs Indonesia

China
22.9%
Draw
14.4%
Indonesia
62.7%
118
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