World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 10, 2024 at 1pm UK

Beijing National Stadium

China
1 - 2
Saudi Arabia

Alawjami (14' og.)
Yuanyi (9'), Baihelamu (36'), Wenneng (45+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kadesh (39', 90')
Alawjami (6'), Al-Malki (45'), Abdul Hamid (59')
Kanoo (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Japan 7-0 China
Thursday, September 5 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Indonesia
Thursday, September 5 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for China had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a China win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
China	Draw	Saudi Arabia
19.69% ( 0.03)	23.02% ( 0.17)	57.28% ( -0.21)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

China	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 19.69%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.01%	0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.34% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 57.27%