World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Nov 14, 2024 at 12am UK

Australia
vs.
Saudi Arabia

McGree (65'), Geria (90')

Al Kassar (16'), Al Bulayhi (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 1-1 Australia
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Bahrain vs. Australia
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Indonesia vs. Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 19 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Australia had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	Saudi Arabia
36.28% ( -0.19)	26.22% ( 0.05)	37.49% ( 0.14)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Australia	Draw	Saudi Arabia
1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.28%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.49%