World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Mar 29, 2022 at 7pm UK

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Australia

Al-Dawsari (65' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

Last Six:

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Colombia
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Venezuela
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	2	4	6
2	Saudi Arabia	2	0	3
3	Russia	2	-1	3
4	Egypt	2	-3	0

Australia

Last Six:

Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Next Game: Australia vs. New Zealand
Sunday, September 25 at 4am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	2	7
2	Denmark	3	1	5
3	Peru	3	0	3
4	Australia	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.31%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.97%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
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