Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.