MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 04:15:11| >> :120:43823:43823:
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World Cup
Australia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 9.10am UK
 
Indonesia national football team

Australia
vs.
Indonesia

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
Last Game: Australia 0-0 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: China vs. Australia
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Indonesia

All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Indonesia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Australia 2-0 Indonesia

 The two nations drew in their first meeting last year and are only separated by a single point in third-round qualifying, but we see Australia coming out on top on Thursday thanks to home advantage and the superior quality in their squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
AustraliaDrawIndonesia
72.63% (-0.193 -0.19) 17.02% (0.029 0.03) 10.34% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.523 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.01% (0.356 0.36)40.98% (-0.36000000000001 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (0.365 0.37)63.37% (-0.367 -0.37)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.11% (0.044000000000011 0.04)9.88% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.24% (0.105 0.11)32.75% (-0.108 -0.11)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.57% (0.554 0.55)47.43% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.19% (0.409 0.41)82.81% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Australia 72.62%
    Indonesia 10.34%
    Draw 17.02%
AustraliaDrawIndonesia
2-0 @ 12.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 9.68% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.6% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.18% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
6-0 @ 1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 72.62%
1-1 @ 8.09% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.02%
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.02% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 10.34%

How you voted: Australia vs Indonesia

Australia
57.8%
Draw
10.0%
Indonesia
32.2%
90
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Sep 10, 2024 1pm
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Indonesia
0-0
Australia
Hubner (57')
Goodwin (10'), Baccus (44'), Silvera (90+2')
> Preview
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