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World Cup

Indonesia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 25, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
 
Bahrain national football team

Indonesia
vs.
Bahrain

Romeny (24')
Ferdinan (34'), Diks (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Madan (61')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between Indonesia and Bahrain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

All competitions
Last Game: Australia 5-1 Indonesia
Thursday, March 20 at 9.10am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Indonesia vs. China
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Bahrain

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Japan 2-0 Bahrain
Thursday, March 20 at 10.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Bahrain vs. Saudi Arabia
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Indonesia win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Bahrain has a probability of 31.36% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Bahrain win is 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.06%).

Result
IndonesiaDrawBahrain
40.83% (0.048000000000002 0.05)27.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01)31.36% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.58% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)58.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (-0.035 -0.04)78.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.97% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)33.95% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)70.62% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 40.82%
    Bahrain 31.36%
    Draw 27.8%
IndonesiaDrawBahrain
1-0 @ 12.09% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.71% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.82%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Indonesia vs Bahrain

Indonesia
47.6%
Draw
14.3%
Bahrain
38.1%
21
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 5pm
Third Round
Bahrain
2-2
Indonesia
Marhoon (15', 90+9')
Haram (11')
Oratmangoen (45+3'), Struick (74')
Oratmangoen (76'), Ferdinan (90+4')
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