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World Cup
Japan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 20, 2025 at 10.35am UK
 
Bahrain national football team

Japan
vs.
Bahrain

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-4 Japan
Friday, November 15 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Japan vs. Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Bahrain

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Oman 1-2 Bahrain
Saturday, January 4 at 4.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
Next Game: Indonesia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, March 25 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Japan 4-0 Bahrain

 Japan have been virtually unstoppable in World Cup qualifying, including a 5-0 victory against Bahrain in the reverse fixture, leading us to expect a similarly dominant win for the hosts here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.06%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
JapanDrawBahrain
78.64% (1.366 1.37) 13.96% (-0.844 -0.84) 7.4% (-0.528 -0.53)
Both teams to score 45.52% (0.575 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.62% (2.173 2.17)36.37% (-2.181 -2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.49% (2.337 2.34)58.51% (-2.345 -2.35)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.59% (0.785 0.78)7.41% (-0.793 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.3% (2.011 2.01)26.7% (-2.019 -2.02)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.16% (0.201 0.2)50.84% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.77% (0.133 0.13)85.23% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Japan 78.63%
    Bahrain 7.4%
    Draw 13.96%
JapanDrawBahrain
2-0 @ 12.75% (-0.34 -0.34)
3-0 @ 11.06% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.665 -0.67)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 7.2% (0.375 0.38)
4-1 @ 4.87% (0.281 0.28)
5-0 @ 3.75% (0.333 0.33)
5-1 @ 2.53% (0.24 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.104 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.62% (0.202 0.2)
6-1 @ 1.1% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 78.63%
1-1 @ 6.63% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.419 -0.42)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 13.96%
0-1 @ 2.55% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-2 @ 2.24% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 7.4%

How you voted: Japan vs Bahrain

Japan
95.5%
Draw
2.3%
Bahrain
2.3%
44
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 5pm
Third Round
Bahrain
0-5
Japan

Al Khatal (88')
Ueda (37' pen., 47'), Morita (61', 64'), Ogawa (81')
> Preview
Jan 31, 2024 11.30am
Round of 16
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1-3
Japan
Ueda (64' og.)
Yusuf (52'), Al Hayam (79')
Doan (31'), Kubo (49'), Ueda (72')
Maikuma (57')
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