
Gulf Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium

Saudi Arabia2 - 3Bahrain
FT(HT: 0-2)
Abd Al Jabar (19'), Al-Humaidan (38'), Marhoon (76')
Coverage of the Gulf Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Saudi Arabia and Bahrain.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 3-1 Trin. & Tob.
Tuesday, December 17 at 1.15pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, December 17 at 1.15pm in International Friendlies
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Third Round Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | China | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Bahrain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bahrain had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Bahrain win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Bahrain |
| 53.72% ( | 26.37% ( | 19.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.74% ( | 60.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.56% ( | 80.44% ( |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( | 22.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.74% ( | 56.26% ( |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.59% ( | 45.41% ( |

