World Cup header WWW

World Cup

Uganda national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Reunification
Guinea national football team

Uganda
1 - 0
Guinea

Okello (36')
Kayondo (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Camara (34')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Uganda and Guinea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Uganda
Thursday, March 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Guinea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea 0-0 Somalia
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 28.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match.

Result
UgandaDrawGuinea
41.79% (0.809 0.81)30.14% (-0.427 -0.43)28.07% (-0.385 -0.38)
Both teams to score 40.2% (0.821 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.35% (1.081 1.08)66.64% (-1.084 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.97% (0.729 0.73)85.02% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (1.044 1.04)31.62% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (1.187 1.19)68.03% (-1.19 -1.19)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.308 0.31)41.21% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.271 0.27)77.74% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 41.79%
    Guinea 28.07%
    Draw 30.14%
UgandaDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 15% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.66% (0.194 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.79%
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 13.03% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-2 @ 3.39% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.14%
0-1 @ 11.55% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 28.07%

How you voted: Uganda vs Guinea

Uganda
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Guinea
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Guinea
2-1
Uganda
Camara (10'), Cisse (90+4')
Guilavogui (90+5')
Bayo (30')
Kayondo (37'), Byaruhanga (45'), B. (45'), Awany (60'), Dennis Awany (60'), Sentamu (75')
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