

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Greenock Morton has a probability of 26.16% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win is 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 48.92% ( | 24.92% ( | 26.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( | 49.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% ( | 71.5% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( | 20.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.41% ( | 52.58% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( | 33.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.04% ( | 69.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
