

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 37.76% ( | 25% ( | 37.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( | 45.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( | 67.96% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( | 23.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.97% ( | 58.03% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( | 24.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.57% ( | 58.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.76% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 |
| 2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 |
| 15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 |
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 |
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 |
| 23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 |
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