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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | MK Dons |
34.85% (![]() | 26.37% (![]() | 38.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.15% (![]() | 51.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.39% (![]() | 73.61% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% (![]() | 28.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.82% (![]() | 64.18% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% (![]() | 26.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.79% (![]() | 61.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 9.35% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 12.54% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 69 | 48 | 21 | 78 |
2 | Port Vale | 44 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 75 |
4 | Walsall | 44 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 74 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 69 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 67 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 66 |
9 | Salford City | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
10 | Chesterfield | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 64 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 62 |
12 | Bromley | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 58 | 56 | 2 | 62 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 60 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 57 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 57 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 57 |
17 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 54 |
18 | MK Dons | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 50 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 50 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 49 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 47 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 45 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 41 |
24 | Morecambe | 44 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |