Egypt

1 - 0

Sierra Leone

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.