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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 27, 2025 at 8pm UK
Brisbane Road
Stevenage

Leyton Orient
1 - 0
Stevenage

Kelman (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage

There has been little to separate these two teams in recent meetings and another closely-contested battle could be on the cards on Thursday. Stevenage may have already beaten Leyton Orient at Brisbane Road this season, but we are backing the playoff-chasing O's to come out on top this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawStevenage
39.9% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 28.01%32.09%
Both teams to score 47.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27%58.72% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74%79.26% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.6% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28%33.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62%70.38% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 39.89%
    Stevenage 32.08%
    Draw 28.01%
Leyton OrientDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.89%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.7%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.08%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Stevenage

Leyton Orient
70.0%
Draw
21.1%
Stevenage
8.9%
90
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2025 7pm
Third Round
Leyton Orient
0-1
Stevenage

Clare (53')
Cooper (25' og.)
Appere (63'), King (72'), Sweeney (90+11')
Nov 23, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Stevenage
0-0
Leyton Orient
Roberts (50'), Thompson (89')
Warrington (25'), Wellens (26'), Pratley (31'), O'Neill (84')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Stevenage
0-1
Leyton Orient

Vancooten (77')
Sanders (16')
Pratley (44'), Forde (83')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Leyton Orient
0-3
Stevenage

Forde (16'), Turns (32')
McNeill (21'), Sweeney (44'), Freeman (79')
Roberts (86')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Stevenage
3-0
Leyton Orient
Reid (6'), Roberts (11'), Norris (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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