Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leyton Orient in this match.