

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 40.16% ( | 25.6% ( | 34.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( | 48.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( | 70.77% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( | 23.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.81% ( | 58.18% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( | 27.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.31% ( | 62.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3% Total : 34.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 70 |
| 2 | Livingston | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 67 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 59 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 49 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 34 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 34 |
| 9 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 28 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 21 |
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