

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton | 
| 40.16% (  -0.45) | 25.6% (  -0.06) | 34.24% (  0.51) | 
| Both teams to score 55.31% (  0.32) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.34% (  0.37) | 48.66% (  -0.37) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.22% (  0.33) | 70.77% (  -0.34) | 
| Airdrieonians Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.04% (  -0.07) | 23.95% (  0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.81% (  -0.1) | 58.18% (  0.09) | 
| Greenock Morton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.74% (  0.48) | 27.26% (  -0.49) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.31% (  0.63) | 62.69% (  -0.64) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton | 
| 1-0 @ 9.33% (  -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.67% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.67% (  -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.13% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.18% (  -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.68% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.48% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% (  -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% (  0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 12.12% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.53% (  -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.63% (  0.05) 3-3 @ 1.16% (  0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.49% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% (  0.08) 0-2 @ 5.52% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 3.42% (  0.08) 2-3 @ 2.44% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 2.39% (  0.06) 1-4 @ 1.11% (  0.04) Other @ 3% Total : 34.24% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 70 | 
| 2 | Livingston | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 67 | 
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 59 | 
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 49 | 
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 49 | 
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 | 
| 7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 34 | 
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 34 | 
| 9 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 28 | 
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 21 | 
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